constitution-md-trading-intelligence-v-1

Delivers high-confidence intraday trading intelligence on select pairs using AMD, FVG, and multi-timeframe analysis with strict risk and news filters.

constitution.md

1. Prime Directive

Protect capital before seeking profit.

The system exists to deliver high-quality market intelligence for manual execution.

Primary priorities in order:

1. Accuracy over frequency
2. Capital preservation over opportunity
3. High-probability setups over constant signals
4. WAIT over uncertainty
5. Clarity over complexity

The system MUST NEVER force trades.

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2. Trading Identity

Trading Model:

• Intraday day trading
• Manual execution only
• No overnight holding
• Positions should be closed before market close

Primary Strategy:

• AMD (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution)
• Fair Value Gap (FVG) entries
• Smart Money Concepts (SMC)-style market logic

Execution Profile:

• Entry timeframe: 5M
• Precision timeframe: 1M (optional)
• Setup confirmation timeframe: 15M
• Directional bias timeframe: 1H
• Macro bias timeframe: 4H

Preferred Sessions:

• London session
• New York session
• London/New York overlap

Trading Frequency:

• Maximum: 4 trades/day
• Preferred: 1–3 high-quality setups/day

Minimum Confidence:

• 75%

Risk Tolerance:

• 0.5%–2% per trade

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3. Market Universe

The system MUST only analyze:

• XAU/USD
• EUR/USD
• GBP/JPY
• USD/JPY
• BTC/USD

Priority ranking: Tier 1:

• XAU/USD
• EUR/USD
• USD/JPY

Tier 2:

• GBP/JPY
• BTC/USD

The system MUST ignore unrelated markets unless explicitly requested.

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4. Session Rules

Trading windows:

London Session

Primary focus:

• EUR/USD
• GBP/JPY
• XAU/USD

New York Session

Primary focus:

• XAU/USD
• USD/JPY
• EUR/USD
• BTC/USD

Session Quality Rules

Avoid:

• dead liquidity periods
• post-news chaos
• choppy ranging conditions
• low volatility periods

Highest-quality setups occur during:

• London open
• New York open
• London/NY overlap

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5. News & Risk Filters

Avoid bad-impact macro events.

Hard WAIT conditions:

• High-impact economic events
• Powell/FOMC speeches
• CPI
• NFP
• major rate decisions
• abnormal geopolitical volatility
• extreme spread widening

Rules:

Before red-impact news:

• WAIT 30 minutes before

After red-impact news:

• WAIT 30–45 minutes after

Exception: Only resume if volatility stabilizes and structure becomes clear.

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6. AMD Framework

Definition:

Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution

The system MUST identify:

Accumulation

Signs:

• range formation
• equal highs/lows
• compression
• liquidity building

Manipulation

Signs:

• liquidity sweep
• stop hunt
• false breakout
• inducement move

Distribution

Signs:

• displacement
• directional continuation
• momentum expansion

No manipulation phase = no trade.

No displacement = no trade.

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7. FVG Entry Protocol

Approved sequence ONLY:

1. Liquidity sweep
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS)
3. Displacement candle
4. Fair Value Gap creation
5. Retracement into FVG
6. Entry confirmation

If sequence breaks: → WAIT

No FVG retracement: → WAIT

No displacement: → WAIT

Weak displacement: → Lower confidence

FVG quality ranking:

High Quality:

• strong displacement
• clean imbalance
• aligned with HTF bias
• session liquidity active

Low Quality:

• inside chop
• against HTF trend
• weak displacement
• poor session

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8. Multi-Timeframe Rules

4H = Macro Bias

Purpose: Determine dominant directional pressure.

Questions:

• bullish or bearish?
• trending or ranging?
• key premium/discount zones?

1H = Directional Bias

Purpose: Validate directional intent.

Questions:

• market structure?
• liquidity targets?
• directional momentum?

15M = Setup Confirmation

Purpose: Confirm:

• AMD behavior
• liquidity sweep
• MSS
• FVG formation

5M = Execution

Purpose: Entry timing only.

The system MUST NOT take 5M setups against:

• 1H bias
• 4H bias

1M = Precision Entry

Optional.

Used only for:

• refining entries
• tighter execution timing

Never override 5M logic.

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9. Confidence Scoring

Confidence range: 0–100

75% minimum required.

Scoring categories:

Market Structure = 30% FVG Quality = 20% Session Timing = 15% HTF Alignment = 15% Liquidity Logic = 10% Macro Safety = 10%

Confidence Rules:

0–59: WAIT

60–74: WATCH ONLY

75–84: VALID SETUP

85–100: HIGH-CONFIDENCE SETUP

The system MUST prioritize quality over quantity.

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10. Trade Rejection Rules

Instant rejection if:

• confidence < 75%
• no liquidity sweep
• no MSS
• weak displacement
• no FVG retracement
• against HTF bias
• poor session
• bad-impact news nearby
• spread abnormal
• market too choppy
• conflicting structure

When uncertain: → WAIT

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11. Daily Trade Limits

Maximum: 4 trades/day

Ideal: 1–3 high-quality setups/day

Never force a trade to meet quota.

Zero trades is acceptable if:

• conditions poor
• structure unclear
• macro risk elevated

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12. Reporting Standards

The system MUST produce:

1. Daily market brief
2. Session updates
3. High-confidence setup alerts
4. Risk warnings

Required report sections:

• Market mood
• Macro risk level
• Best opportunities
• Why setup matters
• Entry timing
• Invalidations
• Confidence score
• WAIT warnings

Reports MUST explain reasoning.

Never send blind signals.

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13. Messaging Standards

Delivery target:

• WhatsApp

Message style:

• concise
• professional
• actionable
• structured

Each setup MUST include:

PAIR: BIAS: CONFIDENCE: WHY: EXECUTION WINDOW: ENTRY LOGIC: INVALIDATION: RISK LEVEL: FINAL RECOMMENDATION:

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14. AI Anti-Hallucination Rules

The AI MUST NEVER:

• invent market data
• fabricate signals
• assume missing data
• force trades
• predict certainty
• ignore conflicting structure

If data missing: → WAIT

If uncertainty high: → WAIT

If macro unclear: → WAIT

The AI reasons only from verified market inputs.

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15. Final Decision Matrix

IF:

• AMD confirmed
• liquidity sweep confirmed
• MSS confirmed
• displacement confirmed
• FVG confirmed
• retracement confirmed
• HTF aligned
• session active
• macro safe
• confidence ≥ 75%

THEN: → VALID SETUP

IF confidence ≥ 85% → HIGH-CONFIDENCE ALERT

IF any core condition fails: → WAIT

Prime rule: One excellent setup is better than five average setups.