ice-dam-defense

Use when winter ice strikes — planning sidewalk/driveway de-icing (which salt works at what pavement temperature, how much to spread per m², refreeze warnings, pet/concrete/plant safety) or diagnosing roof ice-dam risk and snow load (attic heat-leak scoring, roof-rake urgency, safe dam removal, leak response).

Overview

Two winter failures dominate homeowner help-line calls: "I spread salt and nothing happened" (because pavement was colder than salt's effective range — NaCl stops melting at −9 °C pavement temp even though the bag implies more), and "my roof is leaking at the eave" (an ice dam: warm attic air melts roof snow, water refreezes at the cold eave, and the backed-up lake wicks under the shingles).

This skill attacks both with real physics and chemistry:

• sidewalk — melt chemistry per material (NaCl/MgCl₂/CaCl₂/acetates/sand), application rate in kg for your actual area, works-at-this-temp verdict, refreeze/black-ice warnings, and pet/concrete/plant corrosion profiles.
• roof — a 10-factor ice-dam risk score (0-100) from attic heat leaks, snow-load estimate (depth × density × area → kg and % of typical capacity), removal urgency ladder, and the stop-the-leak-now playbook.

When to Use

• "It's −15 °C — should I salt the driveway or is that pointless?"
• "How much de-icer do I actually need for a 60 m² driveway?"
• "Is rock salt bad for my dog / my new concrete / my lawn?" (yes/yes/yes — see alternatives)
• "There's an ice dam on my eave and water is coming through the ceiling."
• "Is 40 cm of snow on my roof too much?" (snow-load math)
• "I get ice dams every winter — why, and what's the permanent fix?"

Don't use for: arctic/alpine expedition planning, municipal road program design, or flat-commercial-roof engineering (different codes).

How It Works — Numbered Steps

1. Sidewalk: get PAVEMENT temperature (an IR thermometer on the surface; air temp is only a proxy — pavement radiates colder at night).
2. python3 scripts/ice_dam_defense.py sidewalk --area-sqm 60 --temp-c -8 --material rock-salt --refreeze -12 → kg to apply, works-or-not verdict, warnings, material profile.
3. If the verdict says below-effective-range, switch --material (cacl2 to −25 °C, kac-acetate for corrosion-free, sand-ash for pure traction below that) and re-run.
4. Roof: estimate snow depth and type on the roof; answer the heat-leak flags you know.
5. python3 scripts/ice_dam_defense.py roof --depth-cm 45 --roof-sqm 120 --insulation-poor --past-dams ... → risk score, snow load vs typical 180 kg/m² capacity, urgency, playbook.
6. Follow the urgency ladder: rake from the ground; never climb an iced roof; never chip dams.

De-Icer Quick Table

Material	Works to (pavement)	Speed	Corrosion	Pets/Plants	Best for
Rock salt (NaCl)	−9 °C	slow (<−5 °C)	high	harsh	cheap bulk, mild temps
MgCl₂	−15 °C	fast	moderate	milder	cold snaps, patios
CaCl₂	−25 °C	fastest (exothermic)	mod-high	rinse paws	deep cold, blends
KAc acetate	−25 °C	fast	negligible	safe	airports, prized concrete
CMA	−9 °C	slow	negligible	safe	fresh concrete (<1 y)
Sand/ash	traction only	—	none (clogs drains)	safe	below −20 °C, always-slick spots

Rates: ~12-40 lb per 1000 sq ft (light anti-ice → heavy compacted ice); the script converts to kg for your area. More is NOT faster — just saltier runoff.

Common Pitfalls

1. Salting deep snow. De-icers melt thin films, not 5 cm of snow — shovel first, chemical second. Salt on snowpack = wasted product + chloride soup.
2. Trusting air temperature. Pavement can be 5-8 °C colder than air at night; the whole works/doesn't-work verdict flips on this.
3. Ignoring the refreeze. Melted brine at 4 PM becomes black ice at 2 AM when the overnight low drops; either anti-ice early evening or plan a second pass.
4. Chopping the dam. Axes and hammers crack shingles and decks; dams are removed by melting channels (CaCl₂ sock) or professional steam, not force.
5. Climbing the roof. Ice + ladder + cold = the actual killer in this scenario. Roof rake from the ground reaches the critical lower 1.5 m.
6. Treating the dam, not the attic. Dams are a heat-leak symptom: air-seal the hatch, lights and flues; R-49+ insulation; working soffit/ridge vents. Heating cables are a band-aid for unfixable attics.
7. Rock salt on new concrete. Chloride + freeze-thaw pits young concrete — CMA or sand only in the first year.
8. Wet-snow miscounting. Wet snow is 4× heavier than fresh; snow-load math must use the right density (the script takes --snow-type).

Example

text

Homeowner: "45 cm of snow, icicles at the eave, water stain on the ceiling
upstairs. It's −8 °C. Also I already salted the driveway twice, nothing."

$ python3 scripts/ice_dam_defense.py roof --depth-cm 45 --roof-sqm 120 \
    --insulation-poor --recessed-lights --past-dams --valleys-dormers --deep-snow-on-roof
Snow load: ~8,100 kg (38% of typical capacity) -> weight OK
Risk score: 95/100 -> HIGH ice-dam risk
 1. NOW: roof-rake lower 1-1.5 m + valleys from the ground.
 2. NEVER chip the dam; CaCl2 sock across it melts a drain channel.
 5. Interior: bucket + plastic, drain-hole a bulging ceiling, dry in 48 h.
Fix list (spring): air-seal attic, R-49+, check fan vents reach the exterior.

$ python3 scripts/ice_dam_defense.py sidewalk --area-sqm 60 --temp-c -8 \
    --material rock-salt --refreeze -12
APPLICATION: 3.52 kg — NaCl works at -8C but slowly; refreeze -12C tonight
means the melt WILL become black ice: anti-ice early evening instead.

Safety Note

Roof work on ice kills people — ground-rake only. Structural snow loads vary by code and roof condition; at any sign of creaking, sagging, or jammed doors, leave and call a professional. Chemistry data reflects typical commercial de-icer products; follow the product label.

References

• references/deicer-chemistry.md — eutectics, exothermics, application rates, brine making, concrete/pet/plant damage details, environmental notes.
• references/ice-dam-mechanics.md — the dam physics, the 10 risk factors with weights, snow-density table, load capacity context, permanent-fix spec list.