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Employee Retention & Turnover Risk Analyzer

Analyzes employee retention risk across 8 dimensions, identifies flight risks, estimates turnover costs, and provides a 90-day retention action plan with pri...

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Employee Retention & Turnover Risk Analyzer

Diagnose why people leave. Fix it before they do.

What This Does

Runs a structured retention risk assessment across 8 dimensions, scores each 0-100, identifies flight-risk employees and departments, calculates replacement costs, and generates a 90-day action plan.

8 Retention Dimensions

  1. Compensation Competitiveness — market benchmarking, pay equity, total comp analysis
  2. Career Progression — promotion velocity, skill development, internal mobility
  3. Manager Quality — span of control, 1:1 frequency, team tenure under each manager
  4. Workload Balance — overtime patterns, PTO usage, burnout indicators
  5. Culture & Belonging — eNPS trends, DEI metrics, team cohesion signals
  6. Recognition & Feedback — frequency, quality, peer-to-peer vs top-down
  7. Flexibility & Autonomy — remote policy, schedule control, decision authority
  8. Onboarding & Early Tenure — 90-day attrition, ramp time, buddy program effectiveness

How to Use

Give the agent your team data (headcount, tenure distribution, recent departures, eNPS scores, comp bands) and it will:

  1. Score each dimension 0-100
  2. Flag dimensions below 60 as critical
  3. Calculate cost-of-turnover by role level:
    • Entry level: 50-60% of salary
    • Mid level: 75-100% of salary
    • Senior/specialist: 100-150% of salary
    • Executive: 200-400% of salary
  4. Identify top 3 retention levers (highest ROI interventions)
  5. Generate 90-day retention action plan with owner assignments

Replacement Cost Formula

Replacement Cost = (Recruiting fees + Lost productivity + Training + Ramp time) × Role multiplier

Quick estimate:
- $65K role → $39K-$65K replacement cost
- $120K role → $90K-$180K replacement cost  
- $200K role → $200K-$800K replacement cost

2026 Retention Benchmarks

MetricGoodAveragePoor
Annual voluntary turnover<10%10-18%>18%
90-day new hire attrition<5%5-12%>12%
eNPS>4010-40<10
Avg tenure>3yr1.5-3yr<1.5yr
Internal mobility rate>15%8-15%<8%
Manager quality score>8060-80<60

Industry Turnover Rates (2026)

IndustryAvg Voluntary TurnoverTop Quartile
Tech/SaaS13.2%8.1%
Financial Services12.8%7.4%
Healthcare19.5%11.2%
Retail/Ecommerce24.1%14.8%
Manufacturing14.7%9.3%
Professional Services16.3%10.1%
Construction21.4%13.6%
Legal11.9%7.2%
Real Estate15.8%9.7%
Recruitment/Staffing28.3%16.9%

AI Impact on Retention (2026 Factors)

New retention risks specific to the AI transition:

  • Role anxiety: 34% of employees report fear of AI replacement (Gallup 2025)
  • Skills obsolescence: Roles with >60% automatable tasks see 2.3x higher attrition
  • AI tool fatigue: Teams forced to adopt >3 new AI tools in 6 months show 40% higher burnout
  • Upskilling gap: Companies investing <2% of payroll in AI training lose senior talent 1.8x faster

Retention plays that work in 2026:

  • AI upskilling budgets ($2K-$5K/employee/year)
  • Role redesign workshops (quarterly, collaborative not top-down)
  • "AI productivity dividends" — share efficiency gains as comp/time off
  • Internal AI project rotations

Red Flags Dashboard

Watch for these combinations:

  • eNPS dropping + PTO usage declining = burnout spiral
  • Senior departures clustering in one team = manager problem
  • Glassdoor sentiment shift + job posting views up = flight risk wave
  • Promotion rate <5% + tenure >2yr cohort growing = stagnation crisis

Output Format

RETENTION RISK ASSESSMENT
========================
Overall Score: [X]/100
Risk Level: [LOW/MODERATE/HIGH/CRITICAL]

DIMENSION SCORES:
[Dimension]: [Score]/100 — [Status emoji] [One-line finding]

TOP 3 RISKS:
1. [Risk] — Est. cost if unaddressed: $[X]/year
2. [Risk] — Est. cost if unaddressed: $[X]/year
3. [Risk] — Est. cost if unaddressed: $[X]/year

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS (90-day):
Week 1-2: [Quick wins]
Week 3-6: [Structural changes]
Week 7-12: [Culture/process shifts]

TOTAL ESTIMATED SAVINGS: $[X]/year from reduced turnover

Get the Full Workforce AI Toolkit

This skill covers retention diagnostics. For the complete workforce transformation stack — AI readiness assessment, role redesign, hiring optimization, and productivity benchmarking:

Built by AfrexAI — turning AI into revenue since 2025.