Predictfunclaw

Predict.fun skill with a PolyClaw-style CLI for markets, wallet funding, trading, positions, and hedging.

PredictClaw

PredictClaw is the predict.fun-native OpenClaw skill for browsing markets, checking wallet readiness, viewing funding guidance, withdrawing funds, placing buys, inspecting positions, and scanning hedge opportunities.

PredictClaw's version source of truth is the repository-root pyproject.toml. When checking GitHub or packaging metadata, use this repository root directly.

Install

ClawHub / packaged install

bash

clawhub install predictclaw
cd ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw
uv sync
cp template.env .env

The installed skill directory ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw is the only canonical user config root. In OpenClaw manifests and examples, this same installed path may appear as {baseDir}. Any repository checkout or workspace copy is a development-only artifact, not a user config root.

Manual install

1. Copy or symlink this repository into ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw/
2. From the installed skill directory, run:

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv sync
cd {baseDir} && cp template.env .env

How configuration actually works

PredictClaw only reads standard environment variables. The supported, tested inputs are:

• the process environment, for example export PREDICT_ENV=testnet
• a local ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw/.env file, auto-loaded by scripts/predictclaw.py when present; in manifests and examples, that same installed path may appear as {baseDir}

If both are present, exported environment variables win and .env only fills missing values.

If your OpenClaw host version injects environment variables into the skill process, that also works because PredictClaw receives normal env vars either way. Older docs used skills.entries.predictclaw.env; treat that as a host-version-specific convenience, not the canonical PredictClaw config surface.

The SKILL frontmatter metadata now declares the external runtime and conditionally used env surfaces so ClawHub users can review them before installation. The mode-specific requirements are still documented below and enforced by the runtime config validator; not every listed variable is required at the same time.

Mode-first onboarding

Choose the mode first, then show only the minimum fields for that mode.

• read-only
  • Browsing only.
  • Minimum fields: PREDICT_ENV, PREDICT_WALLET_MODE, and PREDICT_API_KEY for mainnet reads.
• eoa
  • Direct signer trading.
  • Minimum fields: PREDICT_ENV, PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=eoa, PREDICT_API_KEY, PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY.
• predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_*
  • Recommended funded-trading path.
  • Ask first: Do you already have a vault?
  • Have a vault -> minimum fields: PREDICT_ENV, PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=predict-account, PREDICT_API_KEY, PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS, PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY, ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND, ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS, optional ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION.
  • Need a vault -> deploy or redeploy a vault first with the pure mandated-vault bootstrap path, then return to overlay.
• pure mandated-vault
  • Recommended governance/control-plane path.
  • Minimum fields: PREDICT_ENV, PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=mandated-vault, PREDICT_API_KEY, PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY, ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND, ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID.

Advanced authority / executor / bootstrap private keys are follow-up fields, not default first-screen requirements. Only surface them when the selected workflow really executes vault-side actions. Do not treat the full derivation tuple as the primary first-step answer for overlay onboarding when the user already has a deployed vault.

Mode reminders

1. Run uv sync in the installed skill directory.
2. Pick a bootstrap file:
   • template.env -> secret-free local fixture bootstrap
   • template.readonly.env -> live read-only market reads
   • template.eoa.env -> direct private-key trading
   • template.predict-account.env -> recommended funded-trading path (Predict Account trades, Vault can fund it)
   • template.mandated-vault.env -> recommended governance/control-plane path for advanced pure vault workflows
3. Copy the chosen file to .env inside ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw/.
4. Fill only the variables required for that mode.
5. Verify with:

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py --help
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py markets trending

wallet status requires signer configuration. For read-only, start with markets trending or market <id> --json instead.

mainnet market reads require PREDICT_API_KEY. Non-mainnet usage remains explicit-only and is no longer the packaged default.

test-fixture only knows the bundled local market IDs (123, 456, 789, 101, 202). Switch to the live read-only template before querying a real production market ID.

Recommended operating model

• For user-facing funded trading, recommend predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_*.
• In that model, Predict Account remains the trading identity and deposit address, while Vault acts as the funding/control plane.
• For governance-first or bootstrap-only workflows, recommend pure mandated-vault instead.
• Do not present pure mandated-vault as a co-equal default for trading because it still fails closed on buy / positions / hedge flows.
• For overlay onboarding, ask whether the user already has a vault before asking for advanced vault metadata.

For signer-backed modes, the next verification step is:

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json

Canonical user-facing templates now include:

• template.predict-account.env
• template.predict-account-vault.env

template.mandated-vault.env remains only as the internal/bootstrap compatibility template.

Configuration examples

The snippets below are .env examples. Put them in {baseDir}/.env or export the same names in your shell.

The installed skill directory ~/.openclaw/skills/predictclaw remains the only canonical user config root; {baseDir} is just the manifest/example placeholder for that installed path.

OPENROUTER_API_KEY appears in the signer examples only for optional hedge scan / hedge analyze usage. It is not required for market, wallet, or buy flows and is only needed for non-fixture hedge analysis.

Do not lead with the full env matrix when a user only asks how to configure the skill. Ask for the mode first, then show only the minimum fields for that mode.

bootstrap-safe fixture mode

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=test-fixture
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=read-only

Use this for secret-free CLI verification and local market browsing only. It does not hit the live API.

live read-only mode

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=read-only
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY

Use the live templates as mainnet-first examples.

eoa mode

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=eoa
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY

predict-account mode

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=predict-account
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_PREDICT_ACCOUNT
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_PRIVY_EXPORTED_KEY

predict-account + vault route

The user-facing advanced mode is predict-account + vault, not a standalone mandated-vault mode.

Use the canonical template:

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=predict-account
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_PREDICT_ACCOUNT
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_PRIVY_EXPORTED_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_DEPLOYED_VAULT
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_ASSET
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY=0xYOUR_AUTHORITY
ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_VAULT_AUTHORITY_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION=v0.3.0-agent-contract
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=56

If the vault does not exist yet, run the bootstrap helper first.

Internal bootstrap subflow (mandated-vault)

The older mandated-vault path remains only as the internal/bootstrap compatibility subflow used to create or prepare a vault before returning to predict-account + vault.

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=mandated-vault
PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=56

PredictClaw uses the fixed product factory 0x6eFC613Ece5D95e4a7b69B4EddD332CeeCbb61c6, previews first, requires explicit confirmation, and backfills .env with the deployed vault address and resolved values.

On --confirm, PredictClaw automatically enables the MCP broadcast gate for that subprocess and bridges the bootstrap signer key. The standard flow does not require manually setting ERC_MANDATED_ENABLE_BROADCAST=1 or ERC_MANDATED_BOOTSTRAP_PRIVATE_KEY, but it no longer auto-edits .env.

Preview first:

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet bootstrap-vault --json

Confirm and broadcast:

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet bootstrap-vault --confirm --json

Internal bootstrap compatibility paths

If you intentionally need the internal bootstrap path directly, the following compatibility variants remain:

Explicit deployed vault

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=mandated-vault
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_DEPLOYED_VAULT
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=56

Predicted / undeployed vault

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=mandated-vault
ERC_MANDATED_FACTORY_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_FACTORY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_ASSET
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_NAME=Mandated Vault
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SYMBOL=MVLT
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY=0xYOUR_AUTHORITY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SALT=0xYOUR_SALT
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION=v0.3.0-agent-contract
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=56

ERC_MANDATED_EXECUTOR_PRIVATE_KEY is optional. When it is unset, PredictClaw reuses ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY as the executor signer for the current Preflight MVP contract. This advanced/manual path can still expose manual-only create-vault preparation guidance when you intentionally stay on the manual route.

For advanced overrides, ERC_MANDATED_BOOTSTRAP_PRIVATE_KEY can replace the default bootstrap signer resolution and ERC_MANDATED_ENABLE_BROADCAST can explicitly force the execute-mode gate on or off. In the standard --confirm path, PredictClaw auto-bridges both values to the MCP subprocess for you.

predict-account + vault overlay (recommended advanced funding route)

dotenv

PREDICT_ENV=mainnet
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL=https://api.predict.fun
PREDICT_API_KEY=YOUR_PREDICT_API_KEY
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE=predict-account
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_PREDICT_ACCOUNT
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY=0xYOUR_PRIVY_EXPORTED_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS=0xYOUR_DEPLOYED_VAULT
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND=erc-mandated-mcp
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION=v0.3.0-agent-contract
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID=56

Ask first: Do you already have a vault?

• Have a vault -> this is the default overlay path. Provide ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS and let PredictClaw resolve the remaining vault metadata where possible.
• Need a vault -> deploy or redeploy a vault first with the pure mandated-vault bootstrap path, then return to overlay.

Only if automatic resolution fails should you manually add advanced vault metadata such as ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY, or authority/executor private keys.

In the overlay route, Predict Account remains the deposit/trading account while Vault funds the Predict Account through MCP-backed session and asset-transfer planning.

If you do not have a vault yet, the recommended answer is to deploy or redeploy one first with the pure mandated-vault bootstrap flow. The full derivation tuple (ERC_MANDATED_FACTORY_ADDRESS, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_NAME, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SYMBOL, ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY, and ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SALT) remains available as an advanced/manual path rather than the default first step.

The optional ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_* envs cap Vault→Predict transfers by per-tx amount, per-window cumulative amount, and window duration. On BSC mainnet USDT, 5U = 5000000000000000000 and 10U = 10000000000000000000.

Wallet-mode contract

PredictClaw exposes four user-facing modes.

• read-only — browse market data only; no signer-backed wallet actions.
• eoa — direct signer path for wallet, trade, and funding flows.
• predict-account — smart-wallet funding/trading path using PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS plus PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY.
• predict-account + vault — user-facing advanced route where Predict Account remains the trading identity and Vault acts as the advanced funding source.

How to answer funding-address questions

• In predict-account + vault, the default user-facing answer is the Vault deposit flow.
• Predict Account remains the trading identity and receives the downstream vault-driven top-up afterward.
• wallet deposit --json / wallet status --json therefore distinguish the default funding entry (manualTopUpAddress / fundingAddress) from the trading identity (predictAccountAddress, tradingIdentityAddress).
• Only answer with the Predict Account deposit address when the active route is plain predict-account without the vault overlay.

First-time setup

• Default local posture is test-fixture or mainnet.
• mainnet market reads require PREDICT_API_KEY.
• Explicit non-mainnet routing is supported only when you opt into it yourself.
• read-only is browse-only. Start with markets ..., not signer-backed wallet or trade commands.
• wallet status requires signer configuration.
• eoa requires PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY and rejects Predict Account or mandated-vault inputs.
• predict-account requires both PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS and PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY.
• wallet deposit shows the default funding entry for the active signer mode.
• wallet bootstrap-vault is the helper used during predict-account + vault onboarding when a vault still needs to be created or prepared.
• wallet redeem-vault --preview --json inspects vault-share redeemability before any real redeem flow is attempted.
• Redeem preview returns machine-readable redeemableNow, blockingReason, and contractError fields, including contract errors such as ERC4626ExceededMaxRedeem.
• wallet withdraw performs safety validation before any transfer logic.
• mandated-vault remains only as an internal/bootstrap compatibility path and is not a standalone user mode.
• Default bootstrap only needs the signer EOA, deployment fee funding, and any optional ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_* amount caps.
• In predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_* overlay, wallet status / wallet deposit expose manualTopUpAddress, tradingIdentityAddress, orchestrationVaultAddress, and vault-to-predict-account funding semantics while Predict Account remains the trade identity.
• In that route, the default funding ingress is the Vault deposit flow, not the Predict Account address.
• Vault-related JSON also exposes vaultAuthority, vaultExecutor, bootstrapSigner, allowedTokenAddresses, and allowedRecipients so OpenClaw can reason about configured permissions.
• Overlay buy can proceed when the Predict Account balance is sufficient; otherwise it returns deterministic funding-required guidance that points to wallet deposit --json.
• Pure mandated-vault needs a working ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND; in overlay mode the default path is an explicit ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS, with asset/authority metadata resolved automatically where possible and only escalated to manual fields when that resolution fails.
• To detect whether the runtime is already available, run cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py setup mandated-mcp.
• The default path does not globally install packages and does not auto-edit .env.
• Install the external erc-mandated-mcp runtime yourself, then set ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND manually.
• Hedge analysis uses OpenRouter; OPENROUTER_API_KEY is only required for non-fixture hedge analysis, and fixture mode stays secret-free.

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py --help
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet deposit --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet bootstrap-vault --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet bootstrap-vault --confirm --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet redeem-vault --share-token 0x4a88c1c95d0f59ee87c3286ed23e9dcdf4cf08d7 --holder 0x7df0ba782D85B93266b595d496088ABFAc823950 --all --preview --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet withdraw usdt 1 0xb30741673D351135Cf96564dfD15f8e135f9C310 --json

Command surface

bash

cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py markets trending
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py markets search "election"
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py market 123 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet status --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet approve --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet deposit --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet bootstrap-vault --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet bootstrap-vault --confirm --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet withdraw usdt 1 0xb30741673D351135Cf96564dfD15f8e135f9C310 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py wallet withdraw bnb 0.1 0xb30741673D351135Cf96564dfD15f8e135f9C310 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py buy 123 YES 25 --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py positions --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py position pos-123-yes --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py hedge scan --query election --json
cd {baseDir} && uv run python scripts/predictclaw.py hedge analyze 101 202 --json

Environment variables

Variable	Purpose
PREDICT_STORAGE_DIR	Local journal and position storage
PREDICT_ENV	Defaults to mainnet in code; template.env intentionally bootstraps test-fixture; accepted values are mainnet, testnet, or test-fixture
PREDICT_WALLET_MODE	Explicit mode override: read-only, eoa, predict-account, or mandated-vault
PREDICT_API_BASE_URL	Optional REST base override; packaged live templates pin this to https://api.predict.fun, while leaving it empty uses the env-specific default
PREDICT_API_KEY	Mainnet-authenticated predict.fun API access; required for mainnet market reads and trading
PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY	EOA trading and funding path
PREDICT_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS	Predict Account smart-wallet address
PREDICT_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY	Privy-exported signer for Predict Account mode
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS	Explicit deployed mandated vault address
ERC_MANDATED_FACTORY_ADDRESS	Product default factory for pure bootstrap and manual derivation override; current default is 0x6eFC613Ece5D95e4a7b69B4EddD332CeeCbb61c6
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ASSET_ADDRESS	ERC-4626 asset used in mandated-vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_NAME	Vault name used in mandated-vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SYMBOL	Vault symbol used in mandated-vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_AUTHORITY	Authority address and create-vault from address for manual preparation
ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_SALT	Deterministic salt used for vault prediction/create preparation
ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY	Preflight Vault signer key for the current single-key MVP contract
ERC_MANDATED_EXECUTOR_PRIVATE_KEY	Optional dedicated executor signer; falls back to ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY when unset
ERC_MANDATED_BOOTSTRAP_PRIVATE_KEY	Optional execute-mode bootstrap signer override; when unset, PredictClaw falls back to PREDICT_EOA_PRIVATE_KEY, then ERC_MANDATED_AUTHORITY_PRIVATE_KEY
ERC_MANDATED_ENABLE_BROADCAST	Optional execute-mode MCP gate override; wallet bootstrap-vault --confirm auto-bridges this to 1 unless you explicitly override it
ERC_MANDATED_MCP_COMMAND	MCP launcher command (defaults to erc-mandated-mcp)
ERC_MANDATED_CONTRACT_VERSION	Passed through to the mandated-vault MCP client
ERC_MANDATED_CHAIN_ID	Optional explicit chain selection for the MCP bridge
ERC_MANDATED_ALLOWED_ADAPTERS_ROOT	Optional 32-byte hex allowedAdaptersRoot used for Vault execution mandates; defaults to 0x11…11 for the current single-key MVP / PoC path
ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_MAX_AMOUNT_PER_TX	Optional Vault→Predict funding-policy maxAmountPerTx in raw token units
ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_MAX_AMOUNT_PER_WINDOW	Optional Vault→Predict funding-policy maxAmountPerWindow in raw token units
ERC_MANDATED_FUNDING_WINDOW_SECONDS	Optional Vault→Predict funding-policy windowSeconds
OPENROUTER_API_KEY	Optional OpenRouter credential; only required for non-fixture hedge analysis
PREDICT_MODEL	OpenRouter model override
PREDICT_SMOKE_ENV	Enables the smoke suite
PREDICT_SMOKE_API_BASE_URL	Optional smoke REST base override
PREDICT_SMOKE_PRIVATE_KEY	Enables signer/JWT smoke checks
PREDICT_SMOKE_ACCOUNT_ADDRESS	Predict Account smoke mode
PREDICT_SMOKE_PRIVY_PRIVATE_KEY	Predict Account smoke signer
PREDICT_SMOKE_API_KEY	Smoke REST auth

Architecture note

• SDK for chain-aware/signed flows
• REST for auth, data, order submission, and query

Safety notes

• Do not treat fixture mode as proof of funded-wallet behavior.
• Do not assume live liquidity from docs alone.
• Keep only limited funds on automation keys.
• Withdrawal commands are public; transfer validation happens before chain interaction, but users still own the operational risk.
• When the goal is to keep Predict Account as the trading identity and let Vault only fund it, immediately choose predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_*.
• mandated-vault is an advanced explicit opt-in mode. Treat it as a separate control-plane path, not a co-equal answer for Predict Account trading.
• predict-account + ERC_MANDATED_* is the recommended advanced trading route when you want Vault to fund the Predict Account while keeping the official Predict Account order model.
• Explicit-vs-predicted vault semantics: ERC_MANDATED_VAULT_ADDRESS targets an existing vault directly; otherwise PredictClaw uses the derivation tuple to ask the MCP for the predicted vault address.
• wallet bootstrap-vault --json is preview-only, requires explicit confirmation before broadcast, and backfills .env after a confirmed deployment.
• Advanced/manual derivation flows can still return create-vault preparation details (predictedVault, transaction summary, manual-only) without broadcasting.
• Trust boundary: the MCP orchestrates transport and preparation; the vault contract policy authorizes what the vault can actually execute.
• Pure mandated-vault does not provide predict.fun trading parity. wallet approve, wallet withdraw, buy, positions, position, hedge scan, and hedge analyze fail closed with unsupported-in-mandated-vault-v1.
• Overlay funding currently plans the vault leg and surfaces deterministic funding-required guidance when buy needs top-up; it does not auto-execute the funding leg in the current local signer context.