Trade Validation

v1.0.0

10-dimension weighted scoring framework for prediction market trade evaluation. Enforces disciplined position sizing, circuit breakers, and mandatory counter-arguments. Use when: evaluating prediction market trades, scoring opportunities, deciding position sizes, comparing Polymarket/Kalshi opportunities, running pre-trade checklists. Don't use when: general crypto analysis, DeFi yield farming, non-prediction-market investments, stock/equity analysis, sports betting (different framework needed). Negative examples: - "Should I buy ETH?" → No. This is for prediction markets with binary/discrete outcomes. - "What's the best DeFi yield?" → No. Wrong domain entirely. - "Score this sports bet" → No. Sports betting has different dimensions (injuries, matchups). Edge cases: - Crypto prediction markets (e.g., "Will BTC hit $X?") → YES, use this if on Polymarket/Kalshi. - Multi-outcome markets → Score each outcome separately. - Markets with <$25 liquidity → Auto-fail on Liquidity dimension.

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MIT-0
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LicenseMIT-0 · Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.
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high confidence
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the contents: the SKILL.md and rubric provide a 10-dimension scoring system, pre-trade checklist, scorecard template, and logging guidance — all appropriate for evaluating prediction-market trades.
Instruction Scope
The instructions expect the agent/user to consult external sources and to log entries under projects/polymarket/trade-journal/. That's coherent for a trade journal, but it implies the agent will perform web research and write files; confirm your agent's network/file permissions and whether you want automatic logging to that path.
Install Mechanism
No install spec and no code files — instruction-only. Low risk: nothing will be downloaded or written by an installer as part of the skill package.
Credentials
The skill requests no environment variables, credentials, or system config paths. All required inputs are user-provided trade details and research sources, which is proportionate to the stated purpose.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false and no special privileges requested. The skill suggests writing a trade journal to a local path (normal for this purpose) but does not request modifying other skills or system-wide settings.
Assessment
This skill is an opinionated, self-contained scoring and discipline framework — not an automated trading connector. Before installing or using it, confirm: (1) your agent's network access and browsing behavior — the rubric expects consulting external sources; (2) your agent's filesystem permissions — the skill suggests logging to projects/polymarket/trade-journal/ and will create or write files if allowed; (3) you have NOT given this skill any exchange or wallet credentials (it requests none); (4) you understand the financial limits it enforces (dollar thresholds, veto rules) and whether those match your bankroll and risk tolerance; and (5) you accept that outputs are advisory and not professional financial advice. If you want to allow the agent to execute trades automatically, treat that as a separate decision and restrict credentials and permissions accordingly.

Like a lobster shell, security has layers — review code before you run it.

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License

MIT-0
Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.

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