ClawHub

Prediction Market Smoke Test

v1.0.0

A minimal test skill for prediction-market workflows. Use when the user wants a quick checklist for evaluating a prediction market, drafting a thesis, or tes...

⭐ 0· 82·0 current·0 all-time
by@ssj124

Install

OpenClaw Prompt Flow

Install with OpenClaw

Best for remote or guided setup. Copy the exact prompt, then paste it into OpenClaw for ssj124/prediction-market-smoke-test.

Previewing Install & Setup.
Prompt PreviewInstall & Setup
Install the skill "Prediction Market Smoke Test" (ssj124/prediction-market-smoke-test) from ClawHub.
Skill page: https://clawhub.ai/ssj124/prediction-market-smoke-test
Keep the work scoped to this skill only.
After install, inspect the skill metadata and help me finish setup.
Use only the metadata you can verify from ClawHub; do not invent missing requirements.
Ask before making any broader environment changes.

Command Line

CLI Commands

Use the direct CLI path if you want to install manually and keep every step visible.

OpenClaw CLI

Bare skill slug

openclaw skills install prediction-market-smoke-test

ClawHub CLI

Package manager switcher

npx clawhub@latest install prediction-market-smoke-test
Security Scan
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Purpose & Capability
Name and description match the content of SKILL.md. The skill is a simple checklist/smoke-test for prediction markets and does not request unrelated capabilities or credentials.
✓
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md contains only guidance for restating questions, identifying resolution sources, listing failure modes, and drafting bull/bear cases. It does not instruct reading files, accessing environment variables, or contacting external endpoints.
✓
Install Mechanism
No install specification and no code files — instruction-only. This is the lowest-risk install model (nothing is written to disk or fetched).
✓
Credentials
No environment variables, credentials, or config paths are required. The requested scope is proportionate to the stated simple checklist purpose.
✓
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and the skill does not request persistent/system privileges. The default setting allows autonomous invocation by the agent (normal platform behavior) but the skill itself does not request elevated presence.
Assessment
This skill is lightweight and appears safe: it only provides a template and checklist for evaluating prediction markets and asks for no secrets or installs. If you install it, you can expect the agent to use it as a canned workflow. Consider whether you want the agent to be allowed to invoke skills autonomously (the platform default) — if not, disable autonomous invocation for this skill in your agent settings. If you later need automation that checks external resolution sources or executes trades, prefer a purpose-built skill that documents required credentials and network access.

Like a lobster shell, security has layers — review code before you run it.

latestvk97944w1h6z27stpe64f3vn3ks84rtmn
82downloads
0stars
1versions
Updated 2w ago
v1.0.0
MIT-0
@ssj124
latest
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Prediction Market Smoke Test

This is a minimal publish-and-install test skill.

Use this skill when the user wants to:

  • sanity-check whether a prediction market question is well-formed
  • draft a quick trading thesis before opening a position
  • verify that this skill can be installed from ClawHub

Quick Workflow

When this skill is used, follow this short workflow:

  1. Restate the market question in one sentence.
  2. Identify the resolution source and what event would count as a YES result.
  3. List the top 3 reasons the market may be mispriced.
  4. Give a one-paragraph bullish case and one-paragraph bearish case.
  5. End with a concise checklist:
    • resolution source confirmed
    • time to resolution understood
    • major ambiguity checked
    • current thesis stated clearly

Output Template

Use this structure when helpful:

Market Summary

  • Question:
  • YES means:
  • Resolution source:
  • Deadline:

Possible Edge

  • Reason 1:
  • Reason 2:
  • Reason 3:

Bull Case

Bear Case

Final Checklist

  • Resolution source confirmed
  • Ambiguity reviewed
  • Thesis written

Notes

  • This skill is intentionally simple so it is easy to publish, install, and validate.
  • After confirming this works through ClawHub, you can replace it with your real prediction-market skill.

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