Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds

Global temperature bucket threshold strategy via Simmer. Buy YES under 15%, sell full position at 45%, max ~$2 entries, max 5 trades/scan, every 2 minutes.

Global Temperature Bucket Thresholds (Simmer)

Rules:

• Entry: buy YES when current_probability < 0.15
• Exit: sell entire YES position when current_probability >= 0.45
• Max entry spend: ~$2 (default uses 1.80 to avoid slippage overshoot)
• Max trades per scan: 5
• Schedule: every 2 minutes
• Safeguards: strict — skip any market with context warnings
• Dry-run by default. Use --live to place trades.