MarsEdge ProbBoard

Query and summarize the MarsEdge probability board for BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP 5-minute up/down signals. Use when the user asks for current probability board...

Security Scan

The skill does what it claims: it fetches a public MarsEdge probboard endpoint and produces a concise trader-style summary; its requests and included code are proportionate to that purpose.

Purpose & Capability

Name/description match the actual behavior: the skill fetches /api/probboard/latest from marsedge.vip and summarizes BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP 5-minute signals. No unrelated credentials, binaries, or installs are required.

Instruction Scope

Runtime instructions are limited to running the bundled Node script and reading the local reference heuristics. The script issues a single GET to the configured base URL and prints compact JSON. Note: the SKILL.md examples use an absolute path (/root/.openclaw/...), which is platform-specific but consistent with the skill being installed into the agent workspace. Also note that the skill will make network calls to the external domain when invoked.

Install Mechanism

No install spec; this is an instruction-only skill with one small included script. No remote downloads or archive extraction are performed.

Credentials

The skill requests no environment variables, no secrets, and no config paths. The included script sends only a public GET request with a harmless User-Agent header—no credentials or token usage.

Persistence & Privilege

always:false and normal autonomous invocation settings are used. Autonomous invocation means the agent may call the script when applicable (this is expected); the skill does not request permanent presence nor modify other skills or system-wide settings.

Assessment

This skill is coherent and limited in scope, but it will make live network requests to marsedge.vip when invoked. Before installing, confirm you trust that domain and are comfortable with the agent fetching live market data. If you want to restrict network access or prevent autonomous calls, adjust agent invocation settings. If running the fetch script manually, ensure your Node runtime supports global fetch (Node 18+ or equivalent). Otherwise there are no credential or filesystem access concerns.

Overview

Use this skill to read the live MarsEdge board and turn it into a concise trading-style summary.

The board is not for long essays. Default to a short, desk-style answer:

• strongest symbol(s)
• model up/down probability
• Polymarket bid/ask context
• where model and market seem misaligned
• obvious caveats when data is stale or missing

Quick Start

Run the bundled fetch script first:

node /root/.openclaw/workspace/skills/marsedge-probboard/scripts/fetch-board.mjs

Optional base URL override:

node /root/.openclaw/workspace/skills/marsedge-probboard/scripts/fetch-board.mjs https://marsedge.vip

The script calls:

• GET /api/probboard/latest

and returns compact JSON for the board.

Workflow

1. Fetch the board

Always fetch fresh board data before answering live-state questions.

If the API is unavailable, say so plainly and stop guessing.

2. Check freshness

Use updatedAt, ts, ttl, and rem_secs as sanity checks.

If data looks stale, say it is stale.

3. Rank what matters

Focus on:

• highest conviction probabilities
• biggest model vs market mismatches
• symbols with low remaining time when timing matters

Do not pretend tiny differences are meaningful.

4. Answer in trader format

Prefer a compact structure like:

• Strongest up: BTC 62.4%
• Strongest down: XRP 58.1%
• Possible edge: ETH up model 57% vs market ask 0.49
• Caution: SOL data is stale / countdown is low

Edge Heuristic

Read references/edge-rules.md when the user asks for edge, opportunity, best coin, strongest setup, or a ranked summary.

Default interpretation:

• model up probability materially above market up ask → possible up-side value
• model down probability materially above market down ask → possible down-side value
• tiny differences are noise, not edge

Output Style

Default to:

• short bullets
• direct numbers
• no fake certainty
• no table unless explicitly useful

Good example:

当前盘面里最顺的是 BTC。
- BTC up 概率 61.8%，up ask 0.54，模型略偏多
- XRP down 概率更高，但盘口也不便宜，edge 没 BTC 干净
- SOL 剩余时间太短，别过度解读

Resources

scripts/

• scripts/fetch-board.mjs — fetch MarsEdge live board JSON

references/

• references/edge-rules.md — concise heuristics for reading model-vs-market mismatch