Global Finance Radar

Provides real-time global financial data analysis including central bank policies, macro indicators, market trends, valuations, and risk metrics with source...

Capabilities

#	Capability	Input	Output
1	Central Bank Policy Monitor	Bank(s) + time horizon	Current rate, forward guidance, dot-plot/rate-path, meeting calendar, market-implied probabilities
2	Macroeconomic Dashboard	Country(ies) + indicators	GDP growth, CPI, unemployment, PMI, trade balance, debt/GDP, FX reserves — with trend arrows
3	Cross-Asset Market Brief	Asset class(es) + region	Price action, YTD performance, volatility, fund flows, positioning, key catalysts
4	Yield Curve & Recession Signal	Country	2s10s spread, 3m10y spread, near-term forward spread, historical recession lead time, probability estimate
5	Currency Fair-Value Analysis	Currency pair	PPP estimate, REER deviation, Big Mac Index, FEER, carry-to-risk ratio, positioning (CFTC COT)
6	Equity Valuation Scanner	Index / sector / stock	PE (trailing/forward), EV/EBITDA, PEG, dividend yield, vs. 5Y avg, vs. peers, DuPont decomposition
7	Commodity Supply-Demand Outlook	Commodity	Inventory levels, production forecasts, demand drivers, cost curve, geopolitical risk overlay
8	Crypto Market Intelligence	Token / sector	On-chain metrics (active addresses, TVL, hash rate), regulatory developments, institutional flow, correlation to risk assets
9	Fixed Income Relative Value	Bond / maturity range	Yield, duration, convexity, OAS (credit), breakeven inflation (TIPS), cross-market spread
10	Global Risk Matrix	Time horizon	VIX/VSTOXX, CDS spreads, EMBI spread, financial conditions indices, geopolitical risk index, tail-risk scenario

Workflow

User Query
  │
  ├─ [Step 1] Classify query → asset class(es) + geography + time horizon + analysis type
  │
  ├─ [Step 2] Source selection:
  │   └─ Macro: IMF, World Bank, OECD, Trading Economics
  │   └─ Central banks: Fed (FRED), ECB (SDW), BIS
  │   └─ Markets: Investing.com, Yahoo Finance, CoinGecko
  │   └─ Commodities: WGC, OPEC MOMR
  │
  ├─ [Step 3] Data retrieval + cross-validation (≥2 sources for key metrics)
  │
  ├─ [Step 4] Apply relevant framework (DCF, DuPont, PPP, yield curve model)
  │
  ├─ [Step 5] Generate structured output with data vintage, source URLs
  │
  └─ [Step 6] Risk disclosure: flag data gaps, model limitations, non-investment-advice disclaimer

Output Formats

Central Bank Policy Snapshot

Bank	Current Rate	Last Change	Next Meeting	Market-Implied Path	Hawkish/Dovish Bias
Fed	X.XX%	±XXbp (Date)	Date	CME FedWatch probabilities	...
ECB	X.XX%	...	...	...	...

Macro Dashboard

Indicator	US	EU	CN	JP	IN	Trend
GDP Growth (YoY%)						↑↓→
CPI (YoY%)
Unemployment (%)
Mfg PMI
10Y Yield (%)

Currency Fair-Value Table

Pair	Spot	PPP Fair Value	Misvaluation %	REER Deviation	Carry (1Y)	Signal
EUR/USD						Over/Under/Fair

Usage Guidelines

1. Always cite data vintage — stale data misleads; flag any indicator >30 days old
2. Cross-validate — use ≥2 sources for critical metrics (GDP, CPI, rates)
3. Model transparency — disclose methodology (e.g., "PPP based on OECD 2020 benchmark, extrapolated with CPI differentials")
4. Non-investment-advice disclaimer — mandatory on all outputs involving price forecasts or valuation signals
5. Multi-language — search and summarize across English, Chinese, Japanese, German, French, Spanish
6. Forward-looking statements — clearly distinguish between historical data, consensus forecasts, and model-generated projections

Examples

Example 1: Central Bank Divergence

User: "Compare Fed vs ECB vs BoJ policy outlook for H2 2026" Output: Rate path table with market-implied probabilities; divergence chart narrative; FX implications (EUR/USD, USD/JPY).

Example 2: Recession Check

User: "What's the recession probability for the US right now?" Output: Yield curve spreads (2s10s, 3m10y, near-term forward), Sahm Rule indicator, LEI trend, consensus probability from surveys, historical context.

Example 3: Commodity Outlook

User: "Gold price outlook for next 6 months" Output: Real yield correlation, central bank buying trends, ETF flows, technical levels, geopolitical risk premium, consensus range.

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Data Base: references/finance_sources.json — 12 data sources, 8 central banks, 9 economic indicators, 5 asset classes, 6 valuation frameworks. Last Updated: June 2026 Free Tier: Available. This skill aggregates public financial data; no proprietary terminal data accessed. （内容由AI生成，仅供参考）