Polymarket Analysis

Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.

Scope: Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.

Modes

Mode	Description	Reference
Analyze	One-time market analysis	This file
Monitor	24/7 market monitoring	references/market-monitoring-setup.md
Profile	Track user wallet positions	scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py

Scripts

bash

# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>

# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]

Quick Start

Market Analysis

1. Get market URL from user
2. Fetch via https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}
3. Run multi-strategy analysis

User Profile

bash

# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5

Core Strategies

Strategy	Description	Reference
Pair Cost Arbitrage	YES+NO < $1.00	references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md
Momentum	RSI, MA signals	references/momentum-analysis.md
Whale Tracking	Large trades	references/whale-tracking.md
Sentiment	News/social	references/sentiment-analysis.md

Alert Thresholds

Event	Threshold
Price change	±5% in 1h
Large trade	>$5,000
Pair cost	<$0.98
Volume spike	>2x avg

APIs

API	Base URL	Use
Gamma	gamma-api.polymarket.com	Markets, prices
Data	data-api.polymarket.com	User positions, trades, P&L
CLOB	clob.polymarket.com	Order books, trading

See references/polymarket-api.md for full endpoint reference.

References

• references/polymarket-api.md - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)
• references/market-monitoring-setup.md - 24/7 cron monitoring
• references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md - Arbitrage detection
• references/momentum-analysis.md - Technical analysis
• references/whale-tracking.md - Smart money tracking
• references/sentiment-analysis.md - Sentiment aggregation