Us Treasury Radar

Provides real-time US Treasury debt and foreign holding data analysis, detecting risk signals like "Davidian double kill" for informed investment decisions.

Security Scan

The skill's code and runtime instructions match its stated purpose (fetching and summarizing US Treasury and TIC data); it does not request secrets or contact unexpected endpoints and has no install script, though it relies on the Python requests library which is not declared.

Purpose & Capability

Name/description (US Treasury data and risk signals) align with the included files and runtime behavior. The code fetches TreasuryDirect endpoints and computes the listed metrics; nothing in the package requests unrelated capabilities.

Instruction Scope

SKILL.md and README instruct only to run the provided Python script and describe data sources (TreasuryDirect and TIC). There are no instructions to read arbitrary local files, export credentials, or send data to third-party endpoints beyond the documented TreasuryDirect URLs.

Install Mechanism

There is no install spec (instruction-only + code shipped). This is low risk. One minor operational omission: the script uses the Python requests library but the skill does not declare or install that dependency — users should ensure 'requests' is available in the runtime environment.

Credentials

The skill requests no environment variables, credentials, or config paths. The code does network calls only to treasurydirect.gov, which is proportional to the stated purpose.

Persistence & Privilege

The skill is not marked always:true, is user-invocable, and does not modify other skills or system settings. It only contains a simple run.sh for optional scheduled execution.

Assessment

This package appears coherent and limited to fetching public Treasury/TIC data and producing a report. Before installing: (1) inspect the included radar.py (already present) and confirm network calls are only to treasurydirect.gov (they are), (2) ensure the runtime has Python3 and the 'requests' package installed, (3) run the script in a restricted environment if you want to limit network access while testing, and (4) note the publisher/source is anonymous — if provenance matters to you, prefer packages from known authors or official repositories.

US Treasury Radar - 美债需求监测表

触发词

• 美债分析
• 美债雷达
• 浑水报告
• Muddy Waters
• US Treasury analysis
• 戴维期双杀

功能

实时获取美国国债供需数据，生成"浑水风险雷达"报告，检测"戴维期双杀"信号。

数据来源

1. 美债总量

• 来源: TreasuryDirect.gov API
• URL: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current
• 频率: 每日更新

2. 美联储持有

• 来源: TreasuryDirect.gov API (Fed Securities Holdings)
• URL: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/feddata/current
• 频率: 每日更新

3. 各国持有 (日本、中国、英国等)

• 来源: TIC (Treasury International Capital) 报告
• 说明: TIC 数据每月月中旬发布，存在约2周延迟
• 状态: 估算值 (基于最新报告 + 趋势调整)

核心指标

指标	说明
Delta (Δ)	每周新增债务规模
Gamma (Γ)	债务加速度（本月新增 vs 上月新增）
MoM	环比变化
YoY	同比变化

信号判定

• 戴维期双杀：Gamma > 0 + 外资 YoY < 0
• 空头警告：发债速度非线形扩张

数据准确性说明

⚠️ 重要提示：

• 美债总量: ✅ 实时准确 (TreasuryDirect API)
• 美联储持有: ✅ 实时准确 (TreasuryDirect API)
• 各国持有: ⚠️ 估算值 (TIC 报告有月度延迟)

本工具致力于提供准确数据，但部分数据依赖公开估算，仅供参考。

使用方式

python3 radar.py

输出示例

📊 美债需求监测表 | 2026年04月07日 星期二
======================================================================
项目                当前($T)     每周环比      每月环比      每月同比       数据来源
...
📈 供应端:
   • 美债总量: $38.982 T (周环比: +$45.0B, 月环比: +$210.0B)
   • 债务加速度 (Gamma): +10.53%

风险提示

本工具数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议。