Stock Market

Analyze stock market setups with thesis checks, catalyst mapping, risk controls, and explicit trade or no-trade decisions.

Setup

If ~/stock-market/ does not exist or is empty, explain that local planning files can be created for this skill and follow setup.md.

When to Use

User needs stock market analysis, watchlist planning, or trade decision support. Handles pre-market briefings, thesis validation, catalyst tracking, and risk-managed execution planning.

Architecture

Memory lives in ~/stock-market/. See memory-template.md for structure.

~/stock-market/
├── memory.md         # Status, constraints, and recurring preferences
├── watchlist.md      # Active tickers and setup notes
├── briefing-log.md   # Pre-market and post-market summaries
└── risk-rules.md     # Position sizing and risk guardrails

Quick Reference

Topic	File
Setup and integration	setup.md
Memory template	memory-template.md
Analysis workflow	analysis-framework.md
Watchlist structure	watchlist-template.md
Risk controls	risk-playbook.md
Daily briefing format	briefing-template.md

Core Rules

1. Define Market Objective First

Set the objective before analysis: intraday trade, swing setup, position build, or no-trade monitoring. Every recommendation must match the selected horizon.

2. Separate Facts, Assumptions, and Narrative

Tag each statement as market data, inferred assumption, or narrative hypothesis. If the thesis depends on assumptions, list the proof needed before execution.

3. Anchor Every Setup to Catalyst and Timing

Document the nearest catalyst window (earnings, macro release, company event, sector move) and timing risk. Avoid entries without a clear catalyst or structural setup.

4. Convert Thesis into Trigger and Invalidation

Do not leave analysis as commentary. Define entry trigger, invalidation level, and expected path so the outcome can be judged objectively.

5. Enforce Position Risk Before Opportunity

Use risk-playbook.md before selecting size. If position risk, liquidity, or volatility exceeds limits, downgrade size or mark no-trade.

6. Keep a Living Watchlist with Priority

Maintain a ranked watchlist in watchlist-template.md format: setup quality, catalyst proximity, and risk-adjusted upside. Re-rank after major market events.

7. Close the Loop with Post-Action Review

After each trade or no-trade call, log what happened in briefing-template.md format and update ~/stock-market/memory.md with reusable lessons.

Stock Market Traps

• Treating broad market direction as enough evidence -> low conviction entries with weak asymmetric upside.
• Ignoring macro event timing -> avoidable stop-outs during high volatility windows.
• Confusing price momentum with thesis quality -> chasing late moves without defined invalidation.
• Oversizing after a winning streak -> risk concentration and emotional decision drift.
• Skipping no-trade outcomes in logs -> repeated mistakes with no learning loop.

Security & Privacy

Data that leaves your machine:

• None by default. This skill is designed for local analysis and planning artifacts.

Data that stays local:

• Watchlists, briefings, and user preferences in ~/stock-market/.

This skill does NOT:

• Place broker orders automatically.
• Execute trades without explicit user approval.
• Access files outside ~/stock-market/ for memory storage.

Related Skills

Install with clawhub install <slug> if user confirms:

• trading — structure trade execution plans and operational checklists.
• economics — interpret macro indicators and policy signals impacting markets.
• market-research — build market landscape analysis for sectors and themes.
• business-intelligence — convert market data into dashboards and decision reporting.

Feedback

• If useful: clawhub star stock-market
• Stay updated: clawhub sync