Prediction
v1.0.0Forecast uncertain outcomes with base rates, reference classes, calibration loops, and explicit scorekeeping.
⭐ 3· 246·1 current·1 all-time
byIván@ivangdavila
MIT-0
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LicenseMIT-0 · Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.
Security Scan
OpenClaw
Benign
high confidencePurpose & Capability
The name/description (probabilistic forecasting, calibration, scorekeeping) match what the skill actually does: question design, BRACE loop, local logging, and scoring. It does not request unrelated credentials, binaries, or network endpoints.
Instruction Scope
Runtime instructions are limited to designing forecasts, running the BRACE loop, scoring, and storing/resolving entries in local markdown files. The only system interactions are creating and writing files under ~/prediction/ (setup.md explicitly shows mkdir, touch, chmod). The SKILL.md explicitly warns not to store secrets and asks for consent before saving sensitive items.
Install Mechanism
There is no install spec and no code to download or execute. This is instruction-only, so nothing is pulled from external URLs or registries.
Credentials
The skill requires no environment variables, no credentials, and no config paths beyond its own ~/prediction/ directory (declared in metadata). That matches a local forecasting memory store and is proportionate to the stated functionality.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill writes persistent state to ~/prediction/ (creates files and sets permissions). It does not request system-wide settings or other skills' configs, and always:false. Users should be aware that opting into setup grants the skill local disk write access in the home directory.
Assessment
This skill is internally consistent and appears to do only forecasting work. Before enabling setup or allowing the agent to run its first-run actions, confirm you are okay with creating a ~/prediction/ directory and a handful of markdown files (setup uses mkdir/touch/chmod). The skill explicitly warns not to store secrets or private health/legal data — follow that guidance. If you don't want persistent local memory, decline the setup step or set integration to 'paused' / 'never_ask' in the memory template. Review the created files yourself to confirm nothing unexpected is being stored, and back them up or delete them if you stop using the skill.Like a lobster shell, security has layers — review code before you run it.
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License
MIT-0
Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.
Runtime requirements
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