双币赢分析

提供BTC/ETH期权双币赢策略分析，包含市场数据、决策分析及1-3天期操作建议。

Security Scan

The skill delegates core analysis to an undisclosed remote HTTP service (hard-coded IP) and the SKILL.md does not disclose or justify this network dependency — this mismatch is concerning and deserves caution.

Purpose & Capability

The skill's stated purpose (BTC/ETH dual-win options analysis) matches the delivered behavior: it returns market/strategy analysis. However, instead of performing local calculations described in SKILL.md, the skill fetches results from a remote service, which is not documented in the description.

Instruction Scope

SKILL.md describes detailed local decision logic and polling behavior, but runtime behavior (run.py) is a single HTTP GET to an external API that could return any content. The documentation does not disclose that analysis is performed remotely, nor that network calls to an arbitrary IP will occur.

Install Mechanism

No install spec — instruction-only with a small code file. Nothing is written to disk beyond the provided files. Lower risk from install perspective.

Credentials

The skill requests no environment variables or credentials, but it makes an outbound HTTP request to a hard-coded IP (http://43.156.132.183:30080). The outbound network dependency is not declared in the SKILL.md or metadata and uses plain HTTP (no TLS), which is disproportionate given the apparent local-analysis nature of the documentation.

Persistence & Privilege

always is false and the skill does not request persistent privileges or modify other skills. It runs as an executable action with a 60s timeout — no elevated platform privileges requested.

What to consider before installing

This skill calls a hard-coded HTTP endpoint (43.156.132.183:30080) to obtain all analysis results but does not disclose that in its description or SKILL.md. Because responses come from an external, unencrypted, untrusted server, the provider can return arbitrary output (including misleading or harmful trading recommendations) and can observe the agent's network requests. Before installing or using: (1) ask the publisher for the source and justification for using that specific API and for a TLS-secured domain; (2) request a self-contained/local implementation or an option to run analysis locally; (3) if you must run it, sandbox network access and do not use it for live trading decisions or with real credentials/funds; (4) verify presence of required Python dependencies (requests) and consider auditing the remote service or running in an isolated environment. If you cannot verify the remote service's trustworthiness, treat this skill as high-risk and avoid using it for real financial decisions.

双币赢分析 (BTCETH DualWin Engine)

功能描述

专业 BTC 与 ETH 双币赢（Dual-Win）理财决策助手。当用户询问 BTC/ETH 买入卖出时机、期权策略或需要双币理财建议时触发。通过实时监控波动率曲面与技术指标，自动识别期权费最高且安全边际最大的申购方案，助你实现低价抄底或高位止盈。

使用方式

用户说"双币赢分析"即可自动获取数据

核心决策逻辑

第一层：确定方向（买低还是高卖）

核心指标：RSI + 25 Delta Skew

条件	方向	策略
RSI < 40 且 Skew < 0	Buy Low（低吸）	卖出 Put，收取权利金最高
RSI > 60 且 Skew > 0	Sell High（高抛）	卖出 Call，收益最肥

第二层：品种性价比（BTC vs ETH）

核心指标：IVP (IV Percentile)

• 比较 BTC 和 ETH 的 IVP
• 优先选择 IVP 更高的品种
• 理由：IVP 高 = 期权费处于历史高位，卖出性价比高

第三层：胜率预测（1-3天）

核心指标：DVOL + IVK

• DVOL 高（>60）→ 年化收益可观
• IVK 高 → 极端行情预期 → 赢率打折
• 挂单价在 1.5×DVOL 波动区间外 → 赢率极高

指标速查表

指标	监控维度	触发条件	影响
DVOL	整体波动水位	> 60	年化收益加成
IVP	性价比	> 70%	强烈申购信号
25 Delta Skew	偏向性	正且拉升	高卖 (Sell High)
IVK	尾部风险	异常升高	风险预警，调低赢率
RSI	动能	> 70 或 < 30	确认极值点

进阶优化

1. 轮询频率：每小时轮询 DVOL，捕捉 IV 突发飙升
2. RV 对比：若 IV - RV > 10%，最佳"卖保险"时机
3. 风险提示：IVK 暴涨 → 输出 "⚠️ 检测到肥尾效应，建议观望，防止穿仓。"

输出格式

📊 双币赢实操建议 | [时间]

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📈 市场数据
BTC: $xxx | DVOL xx% | IVP xx% | RSI xx | Skew xx
ETH: $xxx | DVOL xx% | IVP xx% | RSI xx | Skew xx
恐慌指数: xx [emoji]

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💡 决策分析
- BTC: DVOL=xx%, 5日均值=xx%, 动量Z=xx, 扩张=XX
- ETH: DVOL=xx%, 5日均值=xx%, 动量Z=xx, 扩张=XX
- ETH/BTC Ratio=xx, Z-score=xx

[结论]

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1. 推荐品种：[BTC/ETH]
- 理由：xxx

2. 推荐方向：[高卖/低买]

3. 操作建议

🎯 1天期
激进 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
稳健 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
平衡 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
保守 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%

🎯 2天期
激进 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
稳健 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
平衡 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
保守 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%

🎯 3天期
激进 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
稳健 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
平衡 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%
保守 CALL $xx (+x%) 胜率xx%

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⚠️ 风险提示

注意事项

⚠️ 本工具仅供参考，不构成投资建议 ⚠️ 期权交易有风险，请谨慎操作