supplier-risk-scoring

Generates a 0-100 Supplier Risk Index score across financial, dependency, compliance, performance, and geographic risks with tiered action plans.

David F.@flynndavid

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openclaw skills install @flynndavid/supplier-risk-scoring

Supplier Risk Scoring System — Supplier Risk Index (SRI)

Framework: Supplier Risk Index (SRI) Price: $19 Category: Productivity / Risk Management Tags: supplier risk, vendor risk, procurement, risk scoring, ops, compliance last_validated: 2026-03-03

What This Is

The Supplier Risk Index (SRI) is a structured scoring system that produces a 0-100 risk score for every vendor across five dimensions. It classifies vendors into Green, Yellow, or Red tiers and prescribes specific actions for each tier. Run it at onboarding, annually, and whenever a vendor's situation changes materially.

Problem it solves: Ops teams can't manage vendor risk without a consistent framework. The SRI eliminates gut-feel risk assessments and gives procurement teams an objective, defensible methodology for prioritizing vendor oversight and making sourcing decisions.

Output: A risk score (0-100), tier classification (Green/Yellow/Red), and a recommended action plan for every supplier in your portfolio.

The SRI Framework

Five Risk Dimensions:

text

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│              SUPPLIER RISK INDEX (SRI)                  │
│                                                         │
│  D1: Financial Stability           (max 25 pts)         │
│  D2: Single-Source Dependency      (max 20 pts)         │
│  D3: Compliance History            (max 20 pts)         │
│  D4: Performance Track Record      (max 20 pts)         │
│  D5: Geographic / Regulatory Risk  (max 15 pts)         │
│                                                         │
│  Total SRI Score: 0-100                                 │
│  (Higher = LOWER risk — score is a "health" score)      │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Note: The SRI is a health score, not a risk score — higher is better. A score of 90 means low risk; a score of 20 means high risk. This keeps it intuitive: you want vendors to score high.

DIMENSION 1: Financial Stability (25 points)

Why it matters: A financially unstable supplier can't fulfill contracts, maintain quality, or stay in business. Financial instability is the leading cause of unexpected supply chain disruption.

What to assess:

Indicator	How to Evaluate
Business age	Years in operation
Revenue stability	Growing / Stable / Declining
Funding/ownership	Bootstrapped stable, PE-backed, VC-backed, public
Credit risk signals	Late payments to their vendors, legal judgments
Concentration risk	Are they heavily dependent on a single customer?

Scoring Rubric:

Condition	Points
Company 5+ years old, stable/growing revenue, no financial red flags	25
Company 3-5 years old, stable revenue, minor concerns	18-22
Company 1-3 years old (startup), VC-funded or early-stage	10-17
Company has known financial stress (late payments, restructuring, news of losses)	3-9
Company has declared bankruptcy, receivership, or is insolvent	0-2

Data Sources:

Dun & Bradstreet Paydex score (business credit)
Dunn & Bradstreet or Experian Business Credit Report
LinkedIn / public news search for financial distress signals
SEC filings (public companies)
Self-reported financials for small vendors ($25K+ spend: request last 2 years' financials)
References from their other major customers

Scoring Action: For vendors scoring below 15 on D1, escalate to Finance for review before awarding new contracts.

DIMENSION 2: Single-Source Dependency (20 points)

Why it matters: If you rely on one vendor for a critical product or service with no alternative, you're exposed. Any disruption — financial, operational, or relationship — creates immediate business risk.

What to assess:

Factor	Question
Replaceability	How quickly can you replace this vendor if they disappear?
Alternatives	How many qualified alternatives exist in the market?
Revenue concentration	What % of your spend goes to this vendor?
Criticality	What happens to operations if this vendor stops delivering?
Switching cost	Time and cost to transition to an alternative

Scoring Rubric:

Condition	Points
Multiple qualified alternatives exist, vendor is easily replaceable in <30 days	20
Some alternatives exist, 30-90 day replacement window, moderate switching cost	13-19
Few alternatives, 90-180 day replacement window, significant switching cost	6-12
No alternatives identified, critical dependency, >180 day replacement window	0-5

Dependency Multiplier (apply if both conditions are true):

Vendor is the ONLY source for a critical input/service AND
Vendor accounts for >30% of your spend in that category

→ Reduce D2 score by 5 points (floor at 0)

Scoring Action:

Any vendor scoring 0-5 on D2 should have a documented contingency plan
Any vendor with the Dependency Multiplier applied should have a backup vendor identification project initiated

DIMENSION 3: Compliance History (20 points)

Why it matters: Compliance failures are leading indicators — they signal process weakness, poor management, or risk-taking culture. A vendor that's had one compliance issue is statistically more likely to have another.

What to assess:

Area	What to Check
Insurance compliance	COI gaps, lapses, late renewals
Regulatory compliance	Industry violations, fines, regulatory actions
Legal history	Lawsuits, judgments, settlements
Data / security incidents	Breaches, audit failures, security violations
Contract compliance	Prior vendor relationships, terminations for cause
Licensing	Valid licenses maintained in all required jurisdictions

Scoring Rubric:

Condition	Points
Clean history — no known compliance issues in 3+ years	20
Minor issues, fully resolved, 1-2 instances in 3 years	14-19
Moderate issues (1-2 regulatory warnings, minor litigation) — resolved	8-13
Significant issues (major litigation, regulatory action, insurance lapse) — resolved	3-7
Active unresolved compliance issues, ongoing litigation, or recent serious violations	0-2

Data Sources:

Your internal vendor record (COI tracking, past issues)
Court records search (PACER for federal, state court websites)
Better Business Bureau
State licensing board lookups
Google News search: "[Vendor Name] lawsuit OR violation OR fine OR breach"
Industry-specific databases (FDA for food/pharma, OSHA for contractors, etc.)

Scoring Action: Any vendor scoring 0-7 on D3 requires a Legal review before contract renewal.

DIMENSION 4: Performance Track Record (20 points)

Why it matters: Past performance is the most reliable predictor of future performance. Vendors with consistent quality, on-time delivery, and responsive issue resolution are lower risk than vendors with spotty records.

What to assess:

Metric	How to Measure
On-time delivery rate	% of deliverables/invoices delivered on schedule
Quality defect rate	# of quality issues reported in last 12 months
Issue resolution time	Average days to resolve a reported problem
Communication responsiveness	Response time to queries and escalations
Contract adherence	Are they delivering exactly what was contracted?
Customer satisfaction	Internal stakeholder rating of the vendor

Scoring Rubric (for existing vendors with performance history):

Condition	Points
Consistently exceeds expectations, <2 issues/year, fast resolution	20
Meets expectations, 2-5 minor issues/year, resolved promptly	14-19
Mostly meets expectations, occasional issues, moderate resolution time	8-13
Inconsistent, frequent issues, slow resolution, complaints from internal teams	3-7
Significant ongoing performance problems, at-risk relationship	0-2

For New Vendors (no internal history):

Default to 12 points (neutral)
Adjust up/down based on references: +3 for strong references, -3 for weak references
First 90 days: conduct a performance check-in (milestone review) and update score

Scoring Action: Any vendor scoring 0-7 on D4 should be on a Performance Improvement Plan (see Vendor Performance Audit skill).

DIMENSION 5: Geographic & Regulatory Risk (15 points)

Why it matters: Where a vendor operates and where they're incorporated can create risk — political instability, regulatory changes, natural disaster exposure, data sovereignty requirements, and trade compliance complexity.

What to assess:

Factor	Risk Indicators
Country of operation	Political stability, sanctions risk, trade restrictions
Data sovereignty	Does data leave the country? GDPR, CCPA, HIPAA applicability?
Natural disaster exposure	Operations in high-risk zones (hurricanes, earthquakes, flooding)
Regulatory environment	Is their industry heavily regulated in their jurisdiction?
Currency / FX risk	Are payments in a volatile currency?
Export controls	Any ITAR, EAR, or export control applicability?

Geographic Risk Reference:

Vendor Location	Risk Level	Starting Points
US, Canada, UK, EU (stable)	Low	12-15
Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea	Low	12-15
Mexico, Brazil, India	Moderate	8-11
Eastern Europe, Middle East (stable countries)	Moderate-High	5-9
China (data handling concerns, regulatory risk)	High	3-6
Countries with active US sanctions or instability	Very High	0-2

Regulatory Complexity Modifier:

Condition	Adjustment
Vendor operates in a heavily regulated industry (healthcare, finance, defense)	-2 pts
Vendor handles personal data across international borders	-2 pts
Vendor has active export control considerations	-3 pts
Vendor has robust regulatory compliance program documented	+2 pts

Scoring Action: Any vendor scoring 0-5 on D5 should be reviewed by Legal or Compliance before contract execution.

SRI Score Calculation

Step 1: Score Each Dimension

Dimension	Max Points	Your Score
D1: Financial Stability	25	___
D2: Single-Source Dependency	20	___
D3: Compliance History	20	___
D4: Performance Track Record	20	___
D5: Geographic / Regulatory Risk	15	___
TOTAL SRI SCORE	100	___

Step 2: Classify the Tier

SRI Score	Tier	Label
75-100	🟢 Green	Low Risk
50-74	🟡 Yellow	Moderate Risk
Below 50	🔴 Red	High Risk

Recommended Actions by Tier

🟢 Green (75-100): Low Risk

Review frequency: Annual
Oversight level: Standard contract management
Actions:
- Include in standard quarterly performance reviews
- Monitor for any D1/D2/D3 trigger events
- Document score in vendor record
- Eligible for preferred vendor status, extended contracts, increased spend

🟡 Yellow (50-74): Moderate Risk

Review frequency: Semi-annual (every 6 months)
Oversight level: Active monitoring
Actions:
- Identify the lowest-scoring dimension(s) and focus remediation there
- Request a vendor meeting to discuss risk areas
- For D2 issues: begin identifying backup vendors
- For D3 issues: request compliance documentation
- For D4 issues: initiate performance discussion
- Set 90-day improvement targets for specific dimensions
- Do not increase spend or award new contracts until score improves

🔴 Red (Below 50): High Risk

Review frequency: Monthly
Oversight level: Active risk management
Actions:
- Escalate to manager immediately
- Notify internal stakeholders who depend on this vendor
- Initiate contingency planning (backup vendor identification)
- Place hold on new POs pending remediation plan
- Send formal risk notification to vendor
- Set 60-day remediation deadline
- If score doesn't improve to Yellow within 90 days: recommend transition plan

Trigger Events (Re-Score Immediately)

Outside of scheduled reviews, re-score a vendor immediately when:

News of financial difficulty (layoffs, funding cuts, bankruptcy rumors)
Insurance lapse or COI non-compliance detected
Major customer of theirs announces they're switching vendors
Significant leadership change at vendor
Regulatory action or public litigation filed
Security breach or data incident
Merger, acquisition, or ownership change
Natural disaster affecting their operations
Your team reports a significant quality or delivery failure

Portfolio-Level Risk Analysis

After scoring all vendors, conduct a portfolio review:

Risk Distribution Target

Tier	Target	Action if Exceeded
🟢 Green	>70% of portfolio	—
🟡 Yellow	<25% of portfolio	Address highest-risk Yellows first
🔴 Red	<5% of portfolio	Immediate remediation or transition

Concentration Analysis

Identify your top 5 vendors by annual spend
If any top-5 vendor is Red tier → priority escalation
If >50% of spend is concentrated in vendors below 75 SRI → portfolio risk alert

Single-Source Audit

List every vendor where your D2 score is ≤5
These are your critical single-source dependencies
Each one should have a documented contingency plan within 90 days

SRI Registry Fields

Track these fields in your vendor registry:

Field	Notes
Vendor ID
Vendor Name
D1: Financial Stability Score	0-25
D2: Single-Source Score	0-20
D3: Compliance History Score	0-20
D4: Performance Score	0-20
D5: Geographic Risk Score	0-15
Total SRI Score	0-100
Risk Tier	Green / Yellow / Red
Last Scored	Date
Next Review Date	Annual / Semi-annual / Monthly
Key Risk Notes	Free text
Contingency Plan	Y/N + link
Action Status	None / In Progress / Escalated

Expected Outputs

After implementing SRI:

✅ Risk score (0-100) for every vendor in your portfolio
✅ Tier classification (Green/Yellow/Red) with documented rationale
✅ Prioritized list of vendors requiring active risk management
✅ Identified single-source dependencies with contingency planning triggered
✅ Portfolio-level risk distribution with trend tracking
✅ Scheduled re-review cadence for every vendor

Decision quality improvement: Teams using structured risk scoring report 40-60% fewer vendor-related surprises because risk signals are identified before they become crises.

Supplier Risk Index (SRI) — Part of the Vendor & Compliance Operations Pack by Remy Claw More at remyclaw.com | @Remy_Claw on X