Bayesian reasoning

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The skill provides a structured framework for Bayesian reasoning, utilizing a local Python script (scripts/bayes_calc.py) for mathematical calculations and JSON files for session persistence. The instructions in SKILL.md are focused on guiding the user through logical analysis and probability estimation, including a robust 'logic consistency check' to identify common cognitive biases. The Python script is well-implemented with standard libraries, performs input validation, and lacks any risky behaviors such as network access, shell execution, or sensitive data access.