Polymarket Geopolitics Sentiment Reversal Trader

v1.0.1

Trades mean reversion on geopolitical markets pushed to probability extremes by breaking news. Markets at >92% or <8% with long time horizons systematically...

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MIT-0
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LicenseMIT-0 · Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.
Security Scan
Capability signals
CryptoCan make purchases
These labels describe what authority the skill may exercise. They are separate from suspicious or malicious moderation verdicts.
VirusTotalVirusTotal
Benign
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OpenClawOpenClaw
Benign
high confidence
Purpose & Capability
The skill is explicitly a Polymarket/Simmer trading strategy. The included trader.py uses a SimmerClient, the clawhub.json declares SIMMER_API_KEY and simmer-sdk, and the SKILL.md explains market discovery and trade execution — all consistent with a trading bot for geopolitical markets.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine actions to market discovery, filtering, signal computation, and trade placement via the Simmer API/SDK. There are no instructions to read arbitrary local files, exfiltrate data to unknown endpoints, or access unrelated system state.
Install Mechanism
There is no separate install script, but clawhub.json lists a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. Installing a public pip package is a moderate-risk operation; the package and its provenance should be audited before granting the skill network/install privileges. No downloads from unknown URLs or archived extracts are present.
Credentials
The skill needs SIMMER_API_KEY (declared in clawhub.json) and uses non-secret SIMMER_* tunables. This is proportionate to a trading skill. Note: the top-level metadata reported 'Required env vars: none' which contradicts clawhub.json — the SIMMER_API_KEY is in fact required at runtime.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not always:true and does not request persistent system-wide privileges. It only reads/uses its own configurable environment variables and does not modify other skills or global agent settings.
Assessment
This skill appears to do what it says: a mean‑reversion trader for geopolitical Polymarket markets using the Simmer SDK. Before installing, verify the simmer-sdk package source (pip package contents and maintainer), and ensure the SIMMER_API_KEY you provide has limited scope and no broader privileges than necessary. Test the skill in paper/sim mode (the code defaults to venue='sim') before enabling live trading, and confirm you understand financial, legal, and ethical risks of automated trading on geopolitical markets. Also note the small metadata mismatch: clawhub.json requires SIMMER_API_KEY even though the top summary said no env vars; treat the API key as required.

Like a lobster shell, security has layers — review code before you run it.

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License

MIT-0
Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.

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