ClawHub

Polymarket 48h Precipitation Range Trader

v1.0.1

Trades mispricings in precipitation-range markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution across bins for the same city and period, detecting...

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by@diagnostikon
MIT-0
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LicenseMIT-0 · Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.
Security Scan
Capability signals
Crypto
These labels describe what authority the skill may exercise. They are separate from suspicious or malicious moderation verdicts.
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Benign
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OpenClawOpenClaw
Benign
high confidence
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Purpose & Capability
The skill is a Polymarket/Simmer trading strategy and the files (SKILL.md, clawhub.json, trader.py) consistently implement market discovery, distribution reconstruction, and trade execution via the Simmer SDK. However, the top-level registry summary in the evaluation prompt listed 'Required env vars: none' while clawhub.json and SKILL.md require SIMMER_API_KEY — this inconsistency in metadata should be resolved before trusting the package.
✓
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to discovering precipitation-range markets, reconstructing distributions, ranking violations, and executing trades via the Simmer SDK. The skill defaults to paper trading and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades. No instructions ask the agent to read unrelated files or send data to unknown endpoints.
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Install Mechanism
There is no platform-level install script in the package, but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' which aligns with trader.py's import. Installing a pip package is a moderate-risk operation (depends on upstream package provenance); the package source (PyPI project, repository) should be verified.
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Credentials
The only required credential in the code and clawhub.json is SIMMER_API_KEY (trading authority), which is appropriate for a trading skill. Confirm the registry metadata mismatch (which initially reported no required env vars). The skill also reads several tunable SIMMER_* variables from the environment, which are configuration parameters rather than additional secrets.
✓
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and autostart is false; the automaton entrypoint is trader.py but it will not run automatically without explicit configuration. The skill can be invoked by the agent (normal) but does not request elevated persistence or modify other skills/configs.
Assessment
This skill appears coherent for its stated purpose: it uses the Simmer SDK to discover markets and paper-trade by default, and requires a single SIMMER_API_KEY to execute live trades. Before installing: (1) verify the SIMMER_API_KEY requirement (the package files require it, but the registry summary initially omitted it), (2) confirm you trust the simmer-sdk package source (check PyPI/GitHub repo and maintainers), (3) test in paper mode only and review logs/requests generated by the skill, and (4) only provide an API key with the minimal scope needed (and revoke/regenerate if you later uninstall or distrust the skill). If you see unexpected network hosts or code paths contacting third-party endpoints other than Simmer/Polymarket, do not provide credentials and investigate further.

Like a lobster shell, security has layers — review code before you run it.

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License

MIT-0
Free to use, modify, and redistribute. No attribution required.
Termshttps://spdx.org/licenses/MIT-0.html

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