Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds

Global temperature bucket threshold strategy via Simmer. Buy YES under 15%, sell full position at 45%, max ~$2 entries, max 5 trades/scan, every 2 minutes.

Audits

Warn

ClawScanWarn

Agentic behavior and permission review.

Static analysisPass

Pattern checks against bundled files.

VirusTotalPending

Multi-engine malware detections and file reputation.

Install

openclaw skills install polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds

Global Temperature Bucket Thresholds (Simmer)

Rules:

Entry: buy YES when current_probability < 0.15
Exit: sell entire YES position when current_probability >= 0.45
Max entry spend: ~$2 (default uses 1.80 to avoid slippage overshoot)
Max trades per scan: 5
Schedule: every 2 minutes
Safeguards: strict — skip any market with context warnings
Dry-run by default. Use --live to place trades.