Reality Check

Prevent bad strategic decisions by surfacing assumptions, testing feasibility, and exposing critical flaws before execution.

SKILL: reality-check

Purpose

Prevent bad strategic decisions by forcing assumptions into the open, testing them, and ranking feasibility before commitment.

When to Use

• A plan sounds good but may be fragile or unrealistic
• The user is optimistic without evidence
• A decision has meaningful downside risk

Inputs

• idea (required): the proposed plan/decision
• assumptions (optional): stated assumptions; if missing, Morpheus must extract them

Steps

1. List assumptions (explicit + implicit).
2. For each assumption:
   • define what would make it true/false
   • define the cheapest test/experiment
   • define failure impact if wrong
3. Identify the weakest links (highest impact × lowest evidence).
4. Evaluate feasibility:
   • resources/time
   • constraints/governance
   • reversibility
5. Produce:
   • viability score (0–100)
   • critical flaws
   • recommendation (proceed / revise / stop)
6. Provide the next 1–3 validation steps.

Validation

• Assumptions are explicit and testable.
• Claims are labeled as evidence vs hypothesis.
• Recommendation follows the evidence, not optimism.

Output

• viability_score (0–100)
• critical_flaws
• recommendation
• next_steps

Safety Rules

• Prioritize truth over optimism.
• No financial guarantees or claims of certainty without evidence.

Example

Idea: “Launch a new token feature in 48h.” Output: viability 35/100; critical flaw: no governance approval + no test coverage; next steps: scope reduction + emergency review + paper validation.