# Disclaimer

**This skill is a framework, not a guaranteed trading system.**

- EA FC OVR ratings are a simplified proxy for team quality. Actual soccer outcomes depend on lineups, injuries, form, tactics, and countless in-game variables not captured in a single OVR number.
- The bivariate Poisson model is a known academic baseline for soccer prediction. It provides a structured starting point, not an edge guarantee.
- Past model accuracy does not predict future results. Soccer markets can be illiquid and prices can be stale.
- This skill can lose real money. Start with dry-run mode (`python soccer_trader.py` without `--live`) and use small positions when going live.
- Kalshi markets settle based on official match results. Verify market settlement rules before trading.

**Use at your own risk. The authors are not responsible for any financial losses.**